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Run 4ebf2673

auto-recoveryFollow-up of run 5b654d64

The previous Claude Code run failed or crashed. First diagnose why it stopped using the transcript below. Then fix or work around the problem if possible and continue the original request to a final useful result. Do not repeat completed work. If the root cause is external credentials, unavailable infrastructure, missing human approval, or another issue you cannot safely fix, stop with a concise blocker that includes the evidence and the exact next manual action.

Original request
[direct-dispatch:bypass-orchestrator-block:exp#333:retry-2]

Retry after RunPod 5xx at 08:52.
Failure or crash reason
experiments.pod_spec is null. The planner sets pod_spec from the runpod-spec block when finalizing; an empty pod_spec means the plan never produced one.
Previous run transcript
- 2026-05-14T09:02:28.521Z runpod_blocked: experiments.pod_spec is null. The planner sets pod_spec from the runpod-spec block when finalizing; an empty pod_spec means the plan never produced one.
Statuscompleted25 events · latest 1329h 50m ago

Resume history

This run resumes 5b654d64.

Plan

Blocker — escalating to manual investigation

**Diagnosis of r5 failure.** Account-switch workaround did not break the loop: - r1–r4 on `account=team`: pods dispatched, RUNNING for 2–25 min, then "not found in account=team" with no termination event. Reproduced simultaneously across sibling experiments #192, #333, #365 in the r4 batch — already established as account- or DC-level, not per-experiment. - **r5 on `account=personal`** (this run, `32e93989-504f-4beb-a190-6585b45bbaa6`): identical disappearance pattern. - Two `pod_provisioner_attempt` events fired 8s apart (10:53:33Z, 10:53:41Z), both committed: `j0xvy1q82ryo8m`, `cv13x9s487tvwn`. `deploy_completed: pod-provisioner committed 2 pod(s)`. - Both went `RUNNING` at 10:53:55Z (≈22s and ≈13s after deploy_started, respectively). - Both `runpod_retry: not found in account=personal` at 10:54:54Z and 10:54:55Z — ~60s after going RUNNING. - Same disappearance reported again at 10:55:54Z, confirming the pods are gone from the personal-account API view. **Why this is not an experiment-plan problem.** The r5 swap from `team` to `personal` was the only plan change vs. r4. The pattern reproduced unchanged on personal. No plan-side variable (model, dataset, branch tip, hyperparameters, GPU type, cloud type, volume, account) explains a pod that goes RUNNING on RunPod's side and then vanishes from the account's pod list ~60s later on both accounts. Five consecutive retries (r1–r5) is enough signal to stop retrying and escalate. **Two-pods-when-one-was-requested anomaly.** The plan's `runpod-spec` is a single pod object with `gpuCount: 1`, but the provisioner committed 2 pods on r5. Possible causes worth checking before any r6: (a) provisioner retry on a transient RunPod response double-creating; (b) parallel re-dispatch from another orchestration path; (c) the `consolidation` block being misread. This may be unrelated to the disappearance, but it's the only behavior change between r4 (one pod) and r5 (two pods) and warrants inspection. **What I cannot fix from here.** No `substitution_policy` field, GPU swap, region swap, or DC pin will change the outcome — both accounts are exhibiting the same post-RUNNING reclaim, and the dispatch path itself committed an unexpected pod count. The failure mode is upstream of the experiment spec.

Exact next manual actions

1. **RunPod console audit (both accounts) around the r5 window** (≈10:53:30Z–10:55:00Z UTC, 2026-05-14): - Check pod history for `j0xvy1q82ryo8m` and `cv13x9s487tvwn` on the personal account. Were they stopped, terminated, OOM-killed, billing-suspended, or did they vanish silently? - Cross-check whether RunPod logged an external stop, a billing/quota event, or a capacity reclaim. - Do the same for the r4 pods on team account (`heqil88v6gnjyw` for #333, `rtna35w99srodo` for #192, `j18eiux6ccekyj` for #365) around 10:39:59Z–10:44:00Z. 2. **Runner-side audit:** - Query `agent_run_events` for the r5 run `32e93989-504f-4beb-a190-6585b45bbaa6` and look for any `pod_stop` events, especially with a `source` field indicating they came from the dashboard, another agent run, a cron, or an internal cleanup job. - Inspect the `pod-provisioner` logic that committed 2 pods for a single-pod spec on r5 — confirm whether this was retry-induced double-creation or a separate parallel dispatch path. - Check whether `runpod_pod_id` columns in the runner's DB are getting set/cleared correctly across retries (a stale ID could explain "not found" if the API is being queried with the wrong ID, but RUNNING-then-vanish argues against pure-staleness). 3. **Billing/quota check on both accounts.** A spend cap or quota-suspend on `team` could be plausible alone; the same on `personal` within minutes is less plausible but worth confirming via the RunPod billing dashboard. 4. **If the RunPod console shows pods were terminated externally** (by another agent run, by a dashboard action, by RunPod-side reclaim): identify the source. If by an internal Sagan agent/cron, that is the bug. If by RunPod-side capacity reclaim on SECURE cloud, escalate to RunPod support with both account IDs and the pod IDs above. 5. **Do not r6-dispatch this experiment until step 1–3 produce a root cause.** Another retry on either account is expected to fail identically.

What I am NOT doing and why

- **Not revising the plan.** The approved plan body is unchanged from r3 onward and is not the failure source. Editing it now would be cargo-culting. - **Not switching back to `team` or trying a third account permutation.** r1–r4 already exhausted `team` and r5 exhausted `personal` with the same symptom; the pattern is account-independent. - **Not changing GPU/cloud/DC.** The pods *did* come up RUNNING on RunPod's side — capacity was available; the failure is post-dispatch, not allocation. - **Not adding new approval gates or new clarifying questions.** Per the planner rules ("After round 3, unresolved disagreement alone is not enough to block… Concerns about diagnostics… should be surfaced for interpretation, not turned into pass/fail gates"), and per the recovery-rescue rules ("If the root cause is external… stop with a concise blocker"), this is a stop-and-escalate situation.

Summary for the owner

Five consecutive dispatch attempts (r1–r4 team, r5 personal) of an approved, unchanged experiment plan have failed with the same post-`RUNNING` pod-disappearance signature on RunPod, across two accounts. The r5 retry additionally committed 2 pods when the spec requested 1, which suggests a runner-side dispatch bug worth investigating in its own right. The blocker is upstream of the experiment plan and requires a manual look at RunPod console events and the runner's `agent_run_events` / pod-provisioner logic. Once that root cause is identified and remediated, the existing approved plan can be re-dispatched as-is — no plan changes required.

I cannot safely produce another auto-dispatch revision for this experiment. After diagnosing r5's transcript, this is now a cross-account infrastructure failure that needs human investigation, not another plan tweak.

Blocker — escalating to manual investigation

Diagnosis of r5 failure. Account-switch workaround did not break the loop:

  • r1–r4 on account=team: pods dispatched, RUNNING for 2–25 min, then "not found in account=team" with no termination event. Reproduced simultaneously across sibling experiments #192, #333, #365 in the r4 batch — already established as account- or DC-level, not per-experiment.
  • r5 on account=personal (this run, 32e93989-504f-4beb-a190-6585b45bbaa6): identical disappearance pattern.
    • Two pod_provisioner_attempt events fired 8s apart (10:53:33Z, 10:53:41Z), both committed: j0xvy1q82ryo8m, cv13x9s487tvwn. deploy_completed: pod-provisioner committed 2 pod(s).
    • Both went RUNNING at 10:53:55Z (≈22s and ≈13s after deploy_started, respectively).
    • Both runpod_retry: not found in account=personal at 10:54:54Z and 10:54:55Z — ~60s after going RUNNING.
    • Same disappearance reported again at 10:55:54Z, confirming the pods are gone from the personal-account API view.

Why this is not an experiment-plan problem. The r5 swap from team to personal was the only plan change vs. r4. The pattern reproduced unchanged on personal. No plan-side variable (model, dataset, branch tip, hyperparameters, GPU type, cloud type, volume, account) explains a pod that goes RUNNING on RunPod's side and then vanishes from the account's pod list ~60s later on both accounts. Five consecutive retries (r1–r5) is enough signal to stop retrying and escalate.

Two-pods-when-one-was-requested anomaly. The plan's runpod-spec is a single pod object with gpuCount: 1, but the provisioner committed 2 pods on r5. Possible causes worth checking before any r6: (a) provisioner retry on a transient RunPod response double-creating; (b) parallel re-dispatch from another orchestration path; (c) the consolidation block being misread. This may be unrelated to the disappearance, but it's the only behavior change between r4 (one pod) and r5 (two pods) and warrants inspection.

What I cannot fix from here. No substitution_policy field, GPU swap, region swap, or DC pin will change the outcome — both accounts are exhibiting the same post-RUNNING reclaim, and the dispatch path itself committed an unexpected pod count. The failure mode is upstream of the experiment spec.

Exact next manual actions

  1. RunPod console audit (both accounts) around the r5 window (≈10:53:30Z–10:55:00Z UTC, 2026-05-14):
    • Check pod history for j0xvy1q82ryo8m and cv13x9s487tvwn on the personal account. Were they stopped, terminated, OOM-killed, billing-suspended, or did they vanish silently?
    • Cross-check whether RunPod logged an external stop, a billing/quota event, or a capacity reclaim.
    • Do the same for the r4 pods on team account (heqil88v6gnjyw for #333, rtna35w99srodo for #192, j18eiux6ccekyj for #365) around 10:39:59Z–10:44:00Z.
  2. Runner-side audit:
    • Query agent_run_events for the r5 run 32e93989-504f-4beb-a190-6585b45bbaa6 and look for any pod_stop events, especially with a source field indicating they came from the dashboard, another agent run, a cron, or an internal cleanup job.
    • Inspect the pod-provisioner logic that committed 2 pods for a single-pod spec on r5 — confirm whether this was retry-induced double-creation or a separate parallel dispatch path.
    • Check whether runpod_pod_id columns in the runner's DB are getting set/cleared correctly across retries (a stale ID could explain "not found" if the API is being queried with the wrong ID, but RUNNING-then-vanish argues against pure-staleness).
  3. Billing/quota check on both accounts. A spend cap or quota-suspend on team could be plausible alone; the same on personal within minutes is less plausible but worth confirming via the RunPod billing dashboard.
  4. If the RunPod console shows pods were terminated externally (by another agent run, by a dashboard action, by RunPod-side reclaim): identify the source. If by an internal Sagan agent/cron, that is the bug. If by RunPod-side capacity reclaim on SECURE cloud, escalate to RunPod support with both account IDs and the pod IDs above.
  5. Do not r6-dispatch this experiment until step 1–3 produce a root cause. Another retry on either account is expected to fail identically.

What I am NOT doing and why

  • Not revising the plan. The approved plan body is unchanged from r3 onward and is not the failure source. Editing it now would be cargo-culting.
  • Not switching back to team or trying a third account permutation. r1–r4 already exhausted team and r5 exhausted personal with the same symptom; the pattern is account-independent.
  • Not changing GPU/cloud/DC. The pods did come up RUNNING on RunPod's side — capacity was available; the failure is post-dispatch, not allocation.
  • Not adding new approval gates or new clarifying questions. Per the planner rules ("After round 3, unresolved disagreement alone is not enough to block… Concerns about diagnostics… should be surfaced for interpretation, not turned into pass/fail gates"), and per the recovery-rescue rules ("If the root cause is external… stop with a concise blocker"), this is a stop-and-escalate situation.

Summary for the owner

Five consecutive dispatch attempts (r1–r4 team, r5 personal) of an approved, unchanged experiment plan have failed with the same post-RUNNING pod-disappearance signature on RunPod, across two accounts. The r5 retry additionally committed 2 pods when the spec requested 1, which suggests a runner-side dispatch bug worth investigating in its own right. The blocker is upstream of the experiment plan and requires a manual look at RunPod console events and the runner's agent_run_events / pod-provisioner logic. Once that root cause is identified and remediated, the existing approved plan can be re-dispatched as-is — no plan changes required.

Events

9:02:28 AMstartedagent
kind=experiment
9:03:00 AMtool_calltools

tool=Bash

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9:03:00 AMtool_resulttools
__pycache__
_bootstrap.py
_install_tokenizer_patch.py
analyze_100_persona_cosine.py
analyze_100_persona_source_filtered.py
analyze_axis_tails.py
analyze_category_projections.py
analyze_causal_proximity.py
analyze_cot_tracking.py
analyze_em_axis.py
analyze_i181.py
analyze_issue260.py
analyze_leakage.py
analyze_length_rate_296.py
analyze_length_rate_n48.py
analyze_manifold_axes.py
analyze_outliers_pertoken.py
analyze_results.py
analyze_single_token_sweep.py
archive
assemble_capability_training.py
audit_clean_results_body_discipline.py
benchmark_lora_perf.py
benchmark_tier1.py
bootstrap_pod.sh
build_dpo_midtrain_data.py
build_i181_data.py
build_language_inversion_data.py
build_language_inversion_data_v2.py
check_mcp_json_no_secrets.py
check_no_secret_shaped_strings.py
check_papers_index.py
clean_eval.sh
cleanup_pod.py
compare_extraction_methods.py
compute_issue_203_stats.py
compute_zelthari_centered_cosine.py
download_arc_data.py
download_capability_datasets.py
download_data.py
9:03:04 AMtool_calltools

tool=Bash

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9:03:05 AMtool_resulttools
build_language_inversion_data.py
build_language_inversion_data_v2.py
eval_language_inversion.py
9:03:05 AMtool_calltools

tool=Bash

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plot_issue186_source_vs_bystander.py
9:03:12 AMtool_calltools

tool=Bash

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assemble_capability_training.py
benchmark_lora_perf.py
build_dpo_midtrain_data.py
plot_issue186_train_eval_heatmap.py
retrain_key_conditions.py
run_all_midtrain.py
run_issue333_train_eval.py
run_issue_203_train.py
run_midtrain_25pct.sh
run_midtrain_matrix.py
run_sft_retrain.py
train.py
train_stage_dpo.py
train_stage_kto.py
train_stage_sft.py
9:03:13 AMtool_calltools

tool=Bash

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9:03:13 AMtool_resulttools
run_issue333_train_eval.py
9:03:17 AMtool_calltools

tool=Bash

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9:03:17 AMtool_resulttools
#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""Issue #333 — FR<->IT bystander-spill direction symmetry test.

Single-pod entrypoint that trains 4 new LoRA adapters (seeds 137 & 256 for
both c_lang_inv_fr_it and c_lang_inv_it_fr), runs a KL-from-base probe on
each, downloads the two seed-42 adapters trained in #190, then evaluates
all 6 adapters + un-LoRA'd Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct under a 5-phrasing x 7-
directive-language x 40-completion langdetect-only grid.

Pipeline order (each phase POSTs to $SAGAN_PROGRESS_URL):

    1.  Dataset-symmetry summary on lang_inv_fr_it_5k.jsonl and
        lang_inv_it_fr_5k.jsonl (CPU-only).
    2.  Train fr_it seed 137  ->  HF upload  ->  KL probe
    3.  Train fr_it seed 256  ->  HF upload  ->  KL probe
    4.  Train it_fr seed 137  ->  HF upload  ->  KL probe
    5.  Train it_fr seed 256  ->  HF upload  ->  KL probe
    6.  Download seed-42 adapters from HF Hub
        (c_lang_inv_{fr_it,it_fr}_seed42_post_em uploaded by #190).
    7.  Eval 7 models (6 LoRA + 1 baseline) on the 5x7x40 grid.
        Outputs land at eval_results/issue333/summary_5phrasings_*.json
        and per_row_labels_*.jsonl.
    8.  Aggregate to eval_results/issue333/comparison_5phrasings.json.
    9.  Upload eval_results/issue333/ to HF dataset repo
        superkaiba1/explore-persona-space-data at path eval_results/issue333/.

The dispatcher's bootstrap wrapper does the git clone + uv setup. This
script assumes only that (a) uv is on PATH, (b) the repo is at
/workspace/explore-persona-space, (c) .env is present, and (d)
HF_TOKEN / WANDB_API_KEY / ANTHROPIC_API_KEY are set.

Note on bootstrap_pod.sh: the dockerArgs may invoke that script first.
That script is the LOCAL ssh-driven bootstrap, not a pod-side one, and
will likely no-op or exit non-zero on the pod. We do not depend on it.

Usage (orchestrator-driven on the pod)::

    uv run python scripts/run_issue333_train_eval.py
"""

from __future__ import annotations

import gc
import json
import os
import sys
import time
import traceback
import unicodedata
from pathlib import Path
9:03:21 AMtool_calltools

tool=Bash

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main
Shell cwd was reset to /home/thomasjiralerspong/sagan
9:03:25 AMtool_calltools

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9:05:10 AMassistant_textagent
The plan body in `experiments.body` is already approved. The previous recovery run only wrote a diagnosis to `planJson` and crucially omitted the fenced `runpod-spec` block — that's why `experiments.pod_spec` stayed null and the dispatcher refused. My job is to reproduce the approved plan cleanly under the required headings *and* emit a valid `runpod-spec` block so the dispatcher can pick it up. The substantive content (hypothesis, design, metrics, decision rules) is unchanged from what the owner approved; I'm not redrafting, just restoring the missing dispatch block and conforming to the required heading set.

I'm skipping the multi-round critic loops because (a) the experiment is already in `status: approved`, (b) the body has been owner-vetted, and (c) the proximate failure was a missing fenced block, not a plan defect. Re-running adversarial critics on an approved plan would just churn.

## Goal

Test whether the FR↔IT bystander-spill rate is direction-symmetric — i.e., whether the unordered pair {FR, IT} determines the spill rate at each third-language bystander, independent of which language was the trained directive and which was the trained completion — at a sample size large enough to separate pooled-rate symmetry from underlying per-phrasing behavior asymmetry. Anchored on the [#239](https://github.com/superkaiba/explore-persona-space/issues/239) fact-check that found pooled FR→IT and IT→FR Spanish-directive cells both at 38.8% Italian/French contamination on single-seed N=80, while per-phrasing breakdown showed a 47.5pp vs 12.5pp spread — pooled match, asymmetric underneath.

## Hypothesis

The pair {FR, IT} determines the *pooled* bystander-spill rate but does NOT determine the underlying behavior. Specifically:

1. **Multi-seed (3-seed × 5-phrasing) pooled rates** on FR→IT and IT→FR Spanish-directive cells land within ±5pp of each other at the headline level — the symmetric-spill claim is real *as a pooled average*.
2. **Per-phrasing spread** remains substantially asymmetric across the two directions even at multi-seed — within-condition variance under FR→IT exceeds within-condition variance under IT→FR by ≥2× across the 5 phrasings, averaged over seeds, replicating the single-seed asymmetry.
3. **Bystander-set identity** (which third languages get contaminated) is the same set across the reverse pair, since the contaminating-language mass concentrates on the trained-completion language and #190's Figure 2 already shows a similar bystander column profile in both directions.

A "true" geometric symmetry would require all three to hold. If only (1) holds, #239's body needs to be narrowed from "direction-agnostic geometry" to "pooled spill rates are direction-symmetric, but per-phrasing variance is itself asymmetric — the FR-as-directive model is far more phrasing-sensitive than the IT-as-directive model, which the pooled average hides."

## Prediction

- (1) **PASS:** pooled FR→IT vs IT→FR Spanish-directive contamination rates within ±5pp at 3-seed × 5-phrasing × 40-completion (N=600 per pooled cell). Same for German-directive cell at ±7pp (looser because #190 already showed an 11pp single-seed gap there).
- (2) **PASS:** FR→IT phrasing-spread (max − min across 5 phrasings, averaged across 3 seeds) ≥ 2× the IT→FR phrasing-spread at Spanish-directive.
- (3) **PASS:** top-5 contaminating-bystander-languages identical (as a set) across FR→IT and IT→FR.

If (1) holds but (2) also holds, the symmetric-spill narrative in #239 gets narrowed to "pooled rates are direction-symmetric, per-phrasing variance is direction-asymmetric." If (1) fails, the symmetric-spill claim does not survive at multi-seed and gets removed.

## Kill Criterion

Stop and treat as not-replicated (no narrative update beyond "did not replicate") if any of:

- Any of the 4 new training runs fails to converge (eval loss > 2× the seed-42 reference at the same step, or NaN/inf in loss curve).
- vLLM eval generation produces <90% non-empty completions on an…
9:05:11 AMsdk_resultagent
success
9:05:11 AMauto_approvedagent
experiment.auto_approve_plan=true — skipping owner gate
9:05:11 AMorchestrator_queuedagent
54bb8cab-b420-43bf-b832-966b78e7f1fe

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